Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
115 Pacific 100.0%   14   20 - 12 13 - 5 20 - 12 13 - 5 +3.5      +3.5 86 0.0 169 61.2 294 +4.6 102 +4.4 2
132 Cal Poly 0.0%   16 - 13 12 - 6 16 - 13 12 - 6 +2.3      +3.7 77 -1.3 211 55.5 343 +1.8 144 +3.0 3
135 UC Irvine 0.0%   18 - 15 11 - 7 18 - 15 11 - 7 +2.2      -0.3 179 +2.4 105 67.0 180 +2.3 136 +1.6 4
142 Long Beach St. 0.0%   17 - 13 14 - 4 17 - 13 14 - 4 +1.6      +2.9 103 -1.3 208 69.0 133 +4.0 107 +6.4 1
192 Hawaii 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 8 16 - 14 10 - 8 -1.3      +1.4 138 -2.7 248 74.3 46 -0.6 182 +0.7 5
196 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   12 - 18 6 - 12 12 - 18 6 - 12 -1.6      +3.5 84 -5.1 305 76.8 24 -3.5 219 -4.8 8
199 UC Davis 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 9 14 - 17 9 - 9 -1.7      +2.0 125 -3.7 272 70.0 112 -2.3 203 -0.6 6
205 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 11 9 - 20 7 - 11 -2.1      -2.8 247 +0.7 149 64.2 246 -3.5 221 -3.3 7
212 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   12 - 17 5 - 13 12 - 17 5 - 13 -2.5      +1.4 137 -4.0 282 78.0 17 -2.6 209 -6.3 9
291 UC Riverside 0.0%   4 - 24 3 - 15 4 - 24 3 - 15 -8.3      -8.4 330 +0.1 167 62.0 283 -10.5 312 -9.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Pacific 2.0 100.0
Cal Poly 3.0 100.0
UC Irvine 4.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 1.0 100.0
Hawaii 5.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 8.0 100.0
UC Davis 6.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 7.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 9.0 100.0
UC Riverside 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Pacific 13 - 5 100.0
Cal Poly 12 - 6 100.0
UC Irvine 11 - 7 100.0
Long Beach St. 14 - 4 100.0
Hawaii 10 - 8 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 6 - 12 100.0
UC Davis 9 - 9 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 7 - 11 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 5 - 13 100.0
UC Riverside 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Pacific
Cal Poly
UC Irvine
Long Beach St. 100.0% 100.0
Hawaii
Cal St. Fullerton
UC Davis
UC Santa Barbara
Cal St. Northridge
UC Riverside


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Pacific 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 7.6 68.0 24.4
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Pacific 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 11.0% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 11.0% 0.1 89.0 11.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0